三、2011年的工作综述
III. Work for 2011
2011年,是“十二五”开局之年,做好今年的工作对于完成“十二五”各项目标任务至关重要。过去一年,我们的各项工作取得了很大成绩。国内生产总值增长10.3%,居民消费价格涨幅控制在3.3%,城镇新增就业1168万人,国际收支状况有所改善。这为做好今年的工作打下了良好基础。
The year 2011 is the first year of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan period, and it is pivotal for us to do a good job this year in order to accomplish all the tasks and objectives set forth in the plan. Last year, we achieved significant results in all our work. GDP rose by 10.3%; the increase in the CPI was held in check at 3.3%; 11.68 million new urban jobs were created; and the balance of payments situation improved. All of this laid a good foundation for our work this year.
今年,我国发展面临的形势仍然极其复杂。世界经济将继续缓慢复苏,但复苏的基础不牢。发达经济体经济增长乏力,失业率居高难下,一些国家主权债务危机隐患仍未消除,主要发达经济体进一步推行宽松货币政策,全球流动性大量增加,国际大宗商品价格和主要货币汇率加剧波动,新兴市场资产泡沫和通胀压力加大,保护主义继续升温,国际市场竞争更加激烈,不稳定不确定因素仍然较多。我国经济运行中一些长期问题和短期问题相互交织,体制性矛盾和结构性问题叠加在一起,加大了宏观调控难度。我们要准确判断形势,保持清醒头脑,增强忧患意识,做好应对风险的准备。
This year, our country still faces an extremely complex situation for development. The world economy will continue to recover slowly, but the foundation for recovery is not solid. Economic growth in developed economies is weak, their unemployment rates are and will remain high, and some countries are still under the threat of their sovereign debt crises. Major developed economies have further eased monetary policies, global liquidity has increased greatly, the prices of major commodities and the exchange rates of major currencies have become more volatile in the international market, asset bubbles and inflationary pressure have grown in emerging markets, protectionism continues to heat up, competition in the international market is becoming more intense, and there are still many unstable and uncertain factors. Some long-term and short-term problems in our country's economic activities are intertwined, and institutional incongruities and structural problems are stacked up together, making our macro-control more difficult. We need to correctly judge the situation, keep our heads clear, be more mindful of potential dangers, and be prepared to respond to risks.
今年国民经济和社会发展的主要预期目标是:国内生产总值增长8%左右;经济结构进一步优化;居民消费价格总水平涨幅控制在4%左右;城镇新增就业900万人以上,城镇登记失业率控制在4.6%以内;国际收支状况继续改善。总的考虑是,为转变经济发展方式创造良好环境,引导各方面把工作着力点放在加快经济结构调整、提高发展质量和效益上,放在增加就业、改善民生、促进社会和谐上。
The major targets for this year's national economic and social development are as follows: to increase GDP by around 8%, further optimize the economic structure, keep the CPI increase around 4%, create more than nine million new urban jobs, keep the registered urban unemployment rate at 4.6% or lower, and continue to improve the balance of payments situation. Our main purpose is to create a good environment for transforming the pattern of economic development, and to guide all sectors to focus their work on accelerating economic restructuring and raising the quality and results of development as well as on increasing employment, improving the people's wellbeing and promoting social harmony.
实现上述目标,要保持宏观经济政策的连续性、稳定性,提高针对性、灵活性、有效性,处理好保持经济平稳较快发展、调整经济结构、管理通胀预期的关系,更加注重稳定物价总水平,防止经济出现大的波动。
To achieve the above targets, we need to maintain continuity and stability in our macroeconomic policies; make them more targeted, flexible and effective; correctly strike a balance between maintaining steady yet rapid economic development, restructuring the economy and managing inflation expectations; pay more attention to maintaining overall price stability; and prevent large economic fluctuations.
继续实施积极的财政政策。保持适当的财政赤字和国债规模。今年拟安排财政赤字9000亿元,其中中央财政赤字7000亿元,继续代地方发债2000亿元并纳入地方预算,赤字规模比上年预算减少1500亿元,赤字率下降到2%左右。要着力优化财政支出结构,增加“三农”、欠发达地区、民生、社会事业、结构调整、科技创新等重点支出;压缩一般性支出,严格控制党政机关办公楼等楼堂馆所建设,出国(境)经费、车辆购置及运行费、公务接待费等支出原则上零增长,切实降低行政成本。继续实行结构性减税。依法加强税收征管。对地方政府性债务进行全面审计,实施全口径监管,研究建立规范的地方政府举债融资机制。
We will continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy. We will keep the deficit and government bonds at appropriate levels. This year, we are projecting a deficit of 900 billion yuan, which consists of a 700 billion yuan central government deficit and 200 billion yuan in local government bonds, which will be included in local government budgets. This deficit is 150 billion yuan less than budgeted last year, and the deficit will decrease to around 2% of GDP. We need to focus on optimizing the structure of expenditures. We need to increase expenditures in key areas, such as agriculture, rural areas, and farmers; underdeveloped areas; the people wellbeing; social programs; restructuring; and scientific and technological innovation.
We need to decrease ordinary expenditures; strictly control expenditures of Party and government bodies on office buildings and other facilities; keep the budgets for travel abroad, the purchase and operating costs of motor vehicles, and official entertainment at their present level in principle without any increase; and genuinely decrease administrative costs. We will continue to implement structural tax reductions. We will strengthen tax collection and administration in accordance with the law. We will comprehensively audit local government debt, carry out complete oversight and control, and establish a standardized financing mechanism for local governments to borrow money.
实施稳健的货币政策。保持合理的社会融资规模,广义货币增长目标为16%。健全宏观审慎政策框架,综合运用价格和数量工具,提高货币政策有效性。提高直接融资比重,发挥好股票、债券、产业基金等融资工具的作用,更好地满足多样化投融资需求。着力优化信贷结构,引导商业银行加大对重点领域和薄弱环节的信贷支持,严格控制对“两高”行业和产能过剩行业贷款。进一步完善人民币汇率形成机制。密切监控跨境资本流动,防范“热钱”流入。加强储备资产的投资和风险管理,提高投资收益。
We will implement a prudent monetary policy. We will keep financing from all sources at an appropriate level, and we have set a target of a 16% increase in the broad money supply (M2). We will improve our policy framework for comprehensively exercising caution and utilize the tools of prices and quantity in an integrated manner to make our monetary policy more effective. We will increase the proportion of direct financing, and make full use of financing tools such as stocks, bonds and private equities to better satisfy the diverse demands for investment and financing.
We will strive to optimize the credit structure, guide commercial banks to increase credit support to key areas and weak links, and strictly control loans to industries that consume large quantities of energy and resources, are highly polluting or have excess capacity. We will further improve the mechanism for setting RMB exchange rates. We will closely monitor and control cross-border capital flows and prevent the influx of hot money. We will strengthen investment management and risk management over our foreign exchange reserves and increase the returns on our investments.
(来源:新华网 编辑:崔旭燕)