高盛上调中国经济增长预测 Goldman Sachs ups China's 2024 growth outlook

高盛中国首席经济学家闪辉及其团队近期发表研究报告称，因制造业表现强劲，上调中国一季度及全年国内生产总值（GDP）增长预测。

Goldman Sachs Group Inc raised its outlook for China's economic growth this year as the country's factory activities have accelerated more quickly than expected.
基于制造业的强劲表现，高盛上调2024年中国经济增长预测。

In a recent report, economists from Goldman Sachs, led by Shan Hui, the group's chief China economist, said that Chinese economy is likely to have expanded at an annualized pace of 7.5 percent in the first quarter compared to the prior three months, surpassing their previous estimates of 5.6 percent.
在最新报告中，高盛中国首席经济学家闪辉及其团队表示，中国经济一季度环比年化增速可能达到7.5%，高于此前预期的5.6%。

As a result, the group has raised its forecast for China's economic growth to 5 percent in 2024, rather than the 4.8 percent previously predicted.
因此，高盛将2024年中国经济增长预期从此前的4.8%上调至5%。

According to the team's calculations, about two-thirds of the 1.7 percentage point improvement in China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index in March is related to seasonal factors, while the remaining one-third reflects an improvement in manufacturing growth momentum on a month-on-month basis. Other data also point to outstanding performance in the manufacturing sector.
高盛测算，中国制造业采购经理指数（PMI）3月份环比上升1.7个百分点，其中约三分之二与季节性因素相关，剩余三分之一反映出制造业增长动能环比有所改善。其他数据也指向制造业优异的表现。

来源：中国日报网
编辑：董静
审核：万月英 高琳琳