二、2010年主要任务
II. Main Tasks for 2010
今年是继续应对国际金融危机、保持经济平稳较快发展、加快转变经济发展方式的关键一年,是全面实现“十一五”规划目标、为“十二五”发展打好基础的重要一年。
This is a crucial year for continuing to deal with the global financial crisis, maintaining steady and rapid economic development, and accelerating the transformation of the pattern of economic development. It is also an important year for achieving all the targets of the Eleventh Five-Year Plan and laying a solid foundation for development on the basis of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan.
今年发展环境虽然有可能好于去年,但是面临的形势极为复杂。各种积极变化和不利影响此长彼消,短期问题和长期矛盾相互交织,国内因素和国际因素相互影响,经济社会发展中“两难”问题增多。从国际看,世界经济有望恢复性增长,国际金融市场渐趋稳定,经济全球化深入发展的大趋势没有改变,世界经济格局大变革、大调整孕育着新的发展机遇。同时,世界经济复苏的基础仍然脆弱,金融领域风险没有完全消除,各国刺激政策退出抉择艰难,国际大宗商品价格和主要货币汇率可能加剧波动,贸易保护主义明显抬头,加上气候变化、粮食安全、能源资源等全球性问题错综复杂,外部环境不稳定、不确定因素依然很多。从国内看,我国仍处在重要战略机遇期。经济回升向好的基础进一步巩固,市场信心增强,扩大内需和改善民生的政策效应继续显现,企业适应市场变化的能力和竞争力不断提高。但是,经济社会发展中仍然存在一些突出矛盾和问题。经济增长内生动力不足,自主创新能力不强,部分行业产能过剩矛盾突出,结构调整难度加大;就业压力总体上持续增加和结构性用工短缺的矛盾并存;农业稳定发展和农民持续增收的基础不稳固;财政金融领域潜在风险增加;医疗、教育、住房、收入分配、社会管理等方面的突出问题亟待解决。我们必须全面、正确判断形势,决不能把经济回升向好的趋势等同于经济运行根本好转。要增强忧患意识,充分利用有利条件和积极因素,努力化解矛盾,更加周密地做好应对各种风险和挑战的准备,牢牢把握工作的主动权。
Although this year’s development environment may be better than last year’s, we still face a very complex situation. Some positive changes and negative influences are growing while others are diminishing. Short-term and long-term problems are interwoven, domestic and international factors mutually affect each other, and the dilemmas facing economic and social development are increasing. Internationally, the global economy will hopefully turn around. International financial markets are stabilizing, and the overall trend toward increased economic globalization has not changed. Considerable changes and adjustments in the world economic structure will bring new development opportunities. At the same time, many destabilizing factors and uncertainties remain in our external environment. The foundation for global economic recovery remains weak; financial risks have not been completely eliminated; individual countries face difficult choices in phasing out their stimulus policies; larger fluctuations may occur in the prices of major commodities and exchange rates among the major currencies; trade protectionism is clearly reasserting itself; and global problems such as climate change, food security and energy and resource supplies remain complex. Domestically, our country is still in an important period of strategic opportunities. The foundation for economic turnaround is becoming stronger, market confidence has increased, the policy we adopted to boost domestic demand and improve people’s wellbeing continues to show results, and enterprises are constantly becoming more competitive and better able to adapt to market changes. Nevertheless, there are still some serious problems affecting economic and social development. There is insufficient internal impetus driving economic growth; our independent innovation capability is not strong; there is still considerable excess production capacity in some industries and it is becoming more difficult to restructure them; while the pressure on employment is constantly growing overall, there is a structural shortage of labor; the foundation for keeping agricultural production and farmers’ incomes growing steadily is weak; latent risks in the banking and public finance sectors are increasing; and major problems in the areas of healthcare, education, housing, income distribution and public administration urgently require solutions. We must make a comprehensive and correct judgment of the situation, and we must not interpret the economic turnaround as a fundamental improvement in the economic situation. We need to strengthen our awareness of potential dangers, make full use of favorable conditions and positive factors, strive to resolve problems, make even more thorough preparations to deal with risks and challenges of all kinds, and firmly keep the initiative in our work.
做好今年的政府工作,要认真贯彻党的十七大和十七届三中、四中全会精神,以邓小平理论和“三个代表”重要思想为指导,深入贯彻落实科学发展观,着力搞好宏观调控和保持经济平稳较快发展,着力加快经济发展方式转变和经济结构调整,着力推进改革开放和自主创新,着力改善民生和促进社会和谐稳定,全面推进社会主义经济建设、政治建设、文化建设、社会建设以及生态文明建设,加快全面建设小康社会进程,努力实现经济社会又好又快发展。
To do a good job of our government work this year, we need to conscientiously implement the guiding principles of the Seventeenth National Party Congress and the third and fourth plenary sessions of the Seventeenth Central Committee; take Deng Xiaoping Theory and the important thought of Three Represents as our guide; thoroughly implement the Scientific Outlook on Development; strive to apply macro-control appropriately and maintain steady and rapid economic development; work hard to accelerate economic restructuring and the transformation of the pattern of economic development; press ahead with reform and opening up and with independent innovation; strive to improve people’s wellbeing and to promote social harmony and stability; make headway with our efforts to encourage socialist economic, political, cultural, social, and ecological development; pick up the pace of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects; and work hard to achieve sound, rapid economic and social development.
今年经济社会发展的主要预期目标是:国内生产总值增长8%左右;城镇新增就业900万人以上,城镇登记失业率控制在4.6%以内;居民消费价格涨幅 3%左右;国际收支状况改善。这里要着重说明,提出国内生产总值增长8%左右,主要是强调好字当头,引导各方面把工作重点放到转变经济发展方式、调整经济结构上来。提出居民消费价格涨幅3%左右,综合考虑了去年价格变动的翘尾因素、国际大宗商品价格的传导效应、国内货币信贷增长的滞后影响以及居民的承受能力,并为资源环境税费和资源性产品价格改革留有一定空间。
This year the main targets we have set for economic and social development are: increasing GDP by approximately 8%, creating jobs for more than 9 million people entering the urban workforce, keeping the urban registered unemployment rate no higher than 4.6%, holding the rise in consumer prices to around 3%, and improving the balance of payments. Here I would like to stress that in targeting a GDP increase of around 8%, we are emphasizing sound development, and we need to guide all sectors to focus on transforming the pattern of economic development and restructuring the economy in their work. By targeting an increase in consumer prices of around 3%, we are giving full consideration to the carry-over effects of last year’s price changes, the reverberations caused by price changes for major international commodities, the continued impact of increases in domestic supplies of money and credit; and consumers’ ability to bear price increases, while also leaving room for reform in resource and environment taxes and fees and in the pricing of resource products.